A number of dicey factors, including the disparity between the nation’s finest teams and those that still have struggling programs, the massive turnover of personnel each year, and the absurdly large number of teams involved, conspire to make college football betting far more difficult than its NFL counterpart. With the college gridiron campaign currently in full swing, bettors would be wise to join experienced bookmakers in analyzing these three key factors: The Gap Factor: The difference between upper echelon teams and middle to bottom teams can be enormous in college football betting. When you have that situation, certain oddsmaking criteria go out the window. For example, when you have an Ohio State or a USC on the road, the talent level versus an Indiana or an Arizona is going to be so wide that it will negate any home field advantage those teams may have. Of course, that goes for other college super powers such as a Florida or a Texas. So, although most books use Power Ratings as a place to begin the pointspread making process, they’re not nearly as reliable as they are for the NFL. Buy NFL 2022 Wall Calendars
For example, when Texas opened the season with a sparring partner in North Texas State, it was difficult to know what the right number was. Most books settled on 42 with the knowledge that the final score would depend on the mercy of the Long Horns. Alas, Texas showed little sympathy for its overwhelmed opponent, crushing North Texas State, 56-7 for the cover. Given the above example–Louisville (-40) versus Temple, Sept. 9 was another–typically, bookmakers often add a touchdown or so to the raw numbers. Website to buy2022 Boxed calendar.
Conversely, if you’re using pure Power Ratings, they can be skewed if you’re looking at scores such as 56-0, 62-0 and 72-7 heading into conference play. That’s a different level. The People Factor: From year to year you have a much greater turnover of personnel in the college game than you do in the NFL. That means there’s a sharper learning curve each year for the colleges. You might get every bit of information about a team for two months but then every thought and every projection you had for that team could change after the first game. New players really can’t be judged until bet takers see them in a game. Admittedly, the college football betting public is in the same boat. So even though responsible bookmakers put in an incredible amount of work during the summer to get a feel for the college teams, they never know if their assessments are valid until the teams start playing. The Numbers Factor: There’s no doubt that it’s easier to keep tabs on 32 NFL teams than it is to keep track of over 100 college squads. The NFL is all there for you, on television every weekend.